From July 3rd to July 8th the HABITABLE team was involved in the creation of two sets of climate migration scenarios in the frame of two workshops organized by our partner adelphi, Europe’s leading independent think-and-do tank for climate, environment and development.
The first one included the creation of three aspirational scenarios for Kenya, Ghana and Thailand, emphasising possible futures, 20- 25 years from now, where social, economic, political conditions facilitate migration as an effective strategy to cope with – and adapt to the impacts of climate change.
The second one consisted of the development of three crisis scenarios for Ethiopia, Mali, and Ghana exploring the cascades of events that could be triggered by a major climate impact, with the emphasis on the vulnerabilities that enabled or led to the cascade.
The scenario planning exercise conducted in HABITABLE complements other work in the project in that it deals with the uncertainty of future climate-migration dynamics and the factors that shape them. This exercise aims to produce intuitive narratives that will help overcome preconceived ideas about the future and will make it easier to engage policymakers and other stakeholders towards forward-looking policymaking and societal transformation.